The latest Bitcoin price forecast is a fascinating one, as BTC USD is trading near $79,000, up roughly +15% from its February lows, as the price enters what analysts are calling a critical magnet zone, a price band where long-term trendlines converge and historically attract violent moves in either direction.
The catalyst this time is a combination of record ETF inflows and a forming Golden Cross on the daily chart. The central question is simple: does BTC finally clear $80,000, or does resistance send it back toward the $70,000s?
April’s recovery was not quiet. Bitcoin ETF products logged $1.97Bn in net inflows during the month, reversing a prior two-week outflow trend and signaling that institutional money is returning with conviction. Institutional momentum around Bitcoin price prediction has been building steadily, and the on-chain picture supports it: Kraken’s data show exchange reserves at 2.1M BTC, the lowest level since 2018, with 75% of supply unmoved for over a year.
Delphi Digital’s research team noted $2.3Bn in institutional transfers to cold storage by firms including MicroStrategy and Fidelity, describing the move as a strategic realignment rather than a short-term trade. Analyst Macy Sanford of Delphi Digital stated, “Institutional flows are rewriting the narrative, $80k is no longer resistance, it’s fuel.”
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Can BTC USD Break $80,000 and Confirm the Golden Cross?
The technical setup for the Bitcoin price forecast is genuinely interesting right now. BTC USD needs a clean break above $79,537 to put higher magnets in play.
The Golden Cross forming on the daily chart is worth explaining in plain terms. It occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average; in other words, the shorter-term average price overtakes the longer-term one. It’s a signal that recent momentum is outpacing the broader trend, historically preceding sustained bull runs.
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The cross hasn’t fully confirmed yet, but shorter moving averages are rising toward the longer ones. Technical analysis supporting this Golden Cross breakout setup suggests confirmation could arrive within days if BTC holds the current gray range.
On the 1-hour chart, analyst Man of Bitcoin identified a completed 3-wave ABC corrective structure from the $108,000 all-time high, with the roadmap projecting either a rejection at $79,537 or a continuation toward $86,000. Whale accumulation data adds weight, approximately $500M in BTC was absorbed between $75,000 and $78,000 over 48 hours, coinciding with a +12% volume spike.
While everyone's focused on Hormuz.$BTC has officially flipped its previous strong resistance into support, reflected by the recent minor pullback that brought Bitcoin back to $80,000.
Bear market or not, one thing is for sure: this level is the new key support. pic.twitter.com/fqgFAfhrXR
— BATMAN
(@CryptosBatman) May 4, 2026
The three scenarios worth tracking right now:
Bull case: BTC holds above $77,115, breaks $79,537 with volume, Golden Cross confirms, and the BTC 80k level becomes a launchpad toward $86,000 resistance.
Base case: BTC consolidates within the $77,115–$79,537 range as the Golden Cross resolves, leading to a delayed but ultimately successful breakout attempt.
Bear case: Rejection at $79,537 sends BTC through $77,115, targeting correction levels at $72,936, $71,345, $69,785, $67,626, and potentially $64,974 on a deeper flush.
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