Ripple’s Q1 Report Ignites XRP Surge Hopes — Can It Break $3?

XRP has garnered $214 million in investment inflows year-to-date despite on-chain activity cooling.
Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin drives significant engagement, achieving a $90 million market cap and $300 million in cumulative DEX volume.

The XRP price is struggling, having dropped more than 10 percent in the last week from $2.33 to $2.10, just above the $2 barrier. This short-term down movement, though, is likely to be a reversal as per chart patterns. The chart plots a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a signal of an imminent breakout. Given this configuration of lower highs and lower lows from April 28 to May 6, an immediate focus of attention is whether a breakout above $2.14 would spark a recovery toward $2.36, a projected increase of 10%.

XRP Price Technical Analysis Today

Now, XRP price trades near the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.13 inside an important demand zone between $2.13 and $2.14, as mentioned in our last news story. The 4-hour chart shows a warning of a potential death cross given by the 50 and 200 EMAs, which seems like a touch, but an RSI near the oversold boundary suggests falling momentum, but a bullish reaction is also possible.

This means that in case the wedge pattern confirms an upward breakout, the price could see short-term movement towards $2.50, as depicted by Fibonacci indicators. Under favorable conditions, the extended targets extend from $2.75 to $3.15. Not taking the support in the current structure can push it down to the 50% Fibonacci level at the $2 mark.

Q1 2025 XRP Market Performance Highlights Institutional Momentum

Other than that, Ripple in its Q1 2025 market report suggests several developments that could affect XRP in the near term. Political tailwinds like the US crypto executive order by President Donald Trump and SEC Chairman Paul Atkins also provided some confidence. The support for stablecoin regulation bolsters an already evolving legislative environment.

Institutional involvement continues to grow. Volatility Shares filed for three more XRP ETFs, meanwhile Franklin Templeton filed an S‐1 registration for an XRP ETF. In parallel, a local XRP ETF has been approved by Brazil’s securities regulator CVM, and the CME Group has introduced XRP Futures products, as reported in our last news story.

Even with $37.7 million of weekly outflows, overall flows for XRP into investment vehicles have totaled $214 million year to date. This puts the Ripple token second only to Ethereum on global fund flows.

On-Chain Activity Dips But RLUSD Drives Engagement

Q1 2025 also saw the XRP Ledger cool off on the activity side with 30–40% new wallet creation and overall transactions. Decentralized exchange (DEX) volume also fell by 16% compared to the previous quarter. Meanwhile, Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is one of the largest on chain players. RLUSD’s market capitalization is over $90 million and so far, has added over $300 million in cumulative DEX volume, as highlighted in our previous story.

Furthermore, Ripple also managed a $1.25 billion acquisition of prime brokerage firm Hidden Road, one of the biggest digital asset M&A deals yet. This will help accelerate Ripple’s plan to position RLUSD as a utility stablecoin with wider enterprise use. RLUSD plans to be integrated across marginal solutions between traditional and digital financial markets, which could represent a model for stablecoin usage.